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Last Update 11/02/2004
Polling org Date Sample Bush Kerry Weekly Track Date This is polling that reflects the head to
Rassmusen 11/01/2004 3000   50.2 48.5 Kerry - 1.67 04/18/2004 head matchup when Nader is not 
FOX 10/31/2004 1000   46 48 Kerry - 0.70 04/25/2004 mentioned as a candidate. Some of the
Gallup 10/31/2004 934   49 47 Kerry - 0.38 05/02/2004 wording in this polling suggests that you
TIPP 11/01/2004 813   46.9 44.3 Kerry - 0.68 05/09/2004 must choose between Bush and Kerry,
CBS 10/30/2004 561   50 47 Kerry - 0.71 05/16/2004 while other polls simply leave out his name.
ARG 10/30/2004 300   47 48 Kerry - 0.73 05/23/2004 Therefore not all of the polls follow the
LA Times 10/24/2004 1100   49 48 Kerry - 1.68 05/30/2004 exact same format.
Newsweek 10/22/2004 1013   48 47 Kerry - 1.85 06/06/2004
Time/SRBI 10/21/2004 803   52 47 Kerry - 2.50 06/13/2004 Since Ralph Nader is a declared Candidate
Scripps 10/13/2004 867   48 47 Kerry - 1.83 06/20/2004 at this time, I still choose to use polling
ICR 10/11/2004 763   49 46 Kerry - 0.98 06/27/2004 with Ralph Nader for purposes of the
AP/Ipsos 10/06/2004 944   46 50 Kerry - 0.40 07/04/2004 battleground state calculations. There is,
Zogby 10/03/2004 1036   46 45 Kerry - 3.33 07/11/2004 however a "Nader Factor' that takes into
Battleground 09/23/2004 1000   50 45 Kerry - 4.13 07/18/2004 account the historical precedent that shows
Demo Corps 09/21/2004 1003   49 49 Kerry - 3.13 07/25/2004 3rd party candidates poll better than they
Kerry - 3.05 08/01/2004 actually perform on election day.
Kerry - 4.25 08/08/2004
Average last 5 6308   48.42 46.96 Kerry - 4.25 08/15/2004 LINKS
next 5 4083   48.80 47.40 Kerry - 3.10 08/22/2004  
next 5 4746   48.00 47.00 Kerry - 1.18 08/29/2004 3 Way Presidential Race with Nader
Bush - 2.55 09/05/2004
CCPA 15137   48.51 47.13 Bush - 3.98 09/12/2004 President Bush's Approval Rating
up or down   1.38 (1.38) Bush - 4.77 09/19/2004
Bush - 4.38 09/26/2004
 Bush - 3.58 10/03/2004
Bush - 1.05 10/10/2004
Bush - 2.44 10/17/2004
Bush - 2.39 10/24/2004


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