
| Last Update | 11/02/2004 | ||||||||||
| Polling org | Date | Sample | Bush | Kerry | Weekly Track | Date | This is polling that reflects the head to | ||||
| Rassmusen | 11/01/2004 | 3000 | 50.2 | 48.5 | Kerry - 1.67 | 04/18/2004 | head matchup when Nader is not | ||||
| FOX | 10/31/2004 | 1000 | 46 | 48 | Kerry - 0.70 | 04/25/2004 | mentioned as a candidate. Some of the | ||||
| Gallup | 10/31/2004 | 934 | 49 | 47 | Kerry - 0.38 | 05/02/2004 | wording in this polling suggests that you | ||||
| TIPP | 11/01/2004 | 813 | 46.9 | 44.3 | Kerry - 0.68 | 05/09/2004 | must choose between Bush and Kerry, | ||||
| CBS | 10/30/2004 | 561 | 50 | 47 | Kerry - 0.71 | 05/16/2004 | while other polls simply leave out his name. | ||||
| ARG | 10/30/2004 | 300 | 47 | 48 | Kerry - 0.73 | 05/23/2004 | Therefore not all of the polls follow the | ||||
| LA Times | 10/24/2004 | 1100 | 49 | 48 | Kerry - 1.68 | 05/30/2004 | exact same format. | ||||
| Newsweek | 10/22/2004 | 1013 | 48 | 47 | Kerry - 1.85 | 06/06/2004 | |||||
| Time/SRBI | 10/21/2004 | 803 | 52 | 47 | Kerry - 2.50 | 06/13/2004 | Since Ralph Nader is a declared Candidate | ||||
| Scripps | 10/13/2004 | 867 | 48 | 47 | Kerry - 1.83 | 06/20/2004 | at this time, I still choose to use polling | ||||
| ICR | 10/11/2004 | 763 | 49 | 46 | Kerry - 0.98 | 06/27/2004 | with Ralph Nader for purposes of the | ||||
| AP/Ipsos | 10/06/2004 | 944 | 46 | 50 | Kerry - 0.40 | 07/04/2004 | battleground state calculations. There is, | ||||
| Zogby | 10/03/2004 | 1036 | 46 | 45 | Kerry - 3.33 | 07/11/2004 | however a "Nader Factor' that takes into | ||||
| Battleground | 09/23/2004 | 1000 | 50 | 45 | Kerry - 4.13 | 07/18/2004 | account the historical precedent that shows | ||||
| Demo Corps | 09/21/2004 | 1003 | 49 | 49 | Kerry - 3.13 | 07/25/2004 | 3rd party candidates poll better than they | ||||
| Kerry - 3.05 | 08/01/2004 | actually perform on election day. | |||||||||
| Kerry - 4.25 | 08/08/2004 | ||||||||||
| Average | last 5 | 6308 | 48.42 | 46.96 | Kerry - 4.25 | 08/15/2004 | LINKS | ||||
| next 5 | 4083 | 48.80 | 47.40 | Kerry - 3.10 | 08/22/2004 | ||||||
| next 5 | 4746 | 48.00 | 47.00 | Kerry - 1.18 | 08/29/2004 | 3 Way Presidential Race with Nader | |||||
| Bush - 2.55 | 09/05/2004 | ||||||||||
| CCPA | 15137 | 48.51 | 47.13 | Bush - 3.98 | 09/12/2004 | President Bush's Approval Rating | |||||
| up or down | 1.38 | (1.38) | Bush - 4.77 | 09/19/2004 | |||||||
| Bush - 4.38 | 09/26/2004 | ||||||||||
| Bush - 3.58 | 10/03/2004 | ||||||||||
| Bush - 1.05 | 10/10/2004 | ||||||||||
| Bush - 2.44 | 10/17/2004 | ||||||||||
| Bush - 2.39 | 10/24/2004 | ||||||||||