
| Last Update | 11/02/2004 | ||||||||
| Bush's | An incumbent president running for | ||||||||
| Polling org | Date | Sample | Latest App | Weekly Track | Date | re-election has not lost when his | |||
| Rasmussen | 10/31/2004 | 3000 | 52.3 | 49.40% | 03/07/2004 | approvals were higher than 50%. | |||
| Marist | 10/31/2004 | 1216 | 50 | 49.20% | 03/14/2004 | ||||
| Gallup (LV) | 10/31/2004 | 1022 | 51 | 49.10% | 03/21/2004 | On the flip side, no incumbent has | |||
| Battleground | 10/31/2004 | 1000 | 53 | 48.90% | 03/28/2004 | won re-election if his approvals | |||
| CBS/NYTimes | 10/30/2004 | 979 | 49 | 49.53% | 04/04/2004 | were under 50%. | |||
| Newsweek | 10/29/2004 | 776 | 46 | 49.20% | 04/11/2004 | ||||
| FOX | 10/28/2004 | 1000 | 49 | 49.07% | 04/18/2004 | Historically the polling where this | |||
| Zogby | 10/27/2004 | 1066 | 49 | 49.53% | 04/25/2004 | runs true has been Gallup. But I am | |||
| LA Times | 10/24/2004 | 1531 | 49 | 49.53% | 05/02/2004 | keeping an average which I feel will | |||
| SRBI / Time | 10/21/2004 | 1200 | 53 | 49.28% | 05/09/2004 | be just as, if not more accurate. | |||
| Pew | 10/19/2004 | 1070 | 44 | 46.65% | 05/16/2004 | ||||
| Annenberg | 10/06/2004 | 1868 | 51 | 46.88% | 05/23/2004 | CCPA - Coldheart's composite | |||
| AP/Ipsos | 10/06/2004 | 944 | 46 | 46.35% | 05/30/2004 | polling average - last 15 polls | |||
| ABC/WashP | 10/03/2004 | 1207 | 53 | 46.35% | 06/06/2004 | weighted in increments of 5 | |||
| NBC/WSJ | 09/30/2004 | 1014 | 49 | 47.30% | 06/13/2004 | ||||
| 47.93% | 06/20/2004 | LINKS | |||||||
| 48.55% | 06/27/2004 | ||||||||
| Average | last 5 | 7217 | 51.06 | 48.00% | 07/04/2004 | 3 Way Presidential Race with Nader | |||
| next 5 | 5573 | 49.20 | 48.58% | 07/11/2004 | |||||
| next 5 | 6103 | 48.60 | 48.28% | 07/18/2004 | 2 way Presidential Race W/O Nader | ||||
| 48.55% | 07/25/2004 | ||||||||
| CCPA | 18893 | 50.06 | 47.98% | 08/01/2004 | |||||
| To 50% | 0.06 | 47.25% | 08/08/2004 | ||||||
| 47.60% | 08/15/2004 | ||||||||
| 47.85% | 08/22/2004 | ||||||||
| 49.65% | 08/29/2004 | ||||||||
| 50.18% | 09/05/2004 | ||||||||
| 50.49% | 09/12/2004 | ||||||||
| 50.17% | 09/19/2004 | ||||||||
| 49.89% | 09/26/2004 | ||||||||
| 50.11% | 10/03/2004 | ||||||||
| 50.43% | 10/10/2004 | ||||||||
| 49.29% | 10/17/2004 | ||||||||
| 49.68% | 10/24/2004 | ||||||||